What is the future of educational technology?
Speculation about adventure education is LarryCuban, a 14-year high school social studies teacher and a district director (
Seven years in Arlington, Virginia
He is an honorary retired professor of education at Stanford University and has taught at Stanford University for more than 20 years.
His new book, "in the black box of classroom practice: the reform of American education without reform".
This post appears on his blog about school reform and classroom practice.
In the past four years, I have made predictions about the future I have seen. tech in K-12 schools (
See the post of dec 26,09; Dec. 30, 2010; Dec. ,29, 2011; Dec. 27, 2012).
But not higher education.
So I risk it now.
Last year was a year of MOOC.
Through cyberspace and the media, hysterical predictions of the end of higher education and the transformation of teaching have soared (
See here and here).
Just a few weeks ago, MOOCs Thrun was one of the "godfather" of MOOCs, who sang a revolutionary siren song for higher education and sent a farewell to MOOCs.
However, despite the withdrawal of such remarks, the MOOC continues to flourish (
For an overview of the past year of MOOCs, see here).
For those who think that MOOCs is a good example of the hype cycle (as I do)
I will put the MOOC at a "low point in the end of the ideal" in 2013 ".
However, over the next decade, I do believe that, as others have suggested, the slopes of the Enlightenment, as community colleges and state universities, will crawl slowly-see here, but not elite institutions, they will figure out how to incorporate MOOC into their income --
Degree courses in production (
Less than a few bachelor's and master's degrees now).
However, for K-
12 Public Schools
According to the largest Report of the Los Angeles United School District, public schools in 2013 (
The most expensive)
In the United States, the adoption of the ipad masks areas that are published monthly to buy tablets for kindergarten children.
Vendors continue to roll out interactive whiteboards, clickers, and devices that engage children and continuously improve academic achievement.
Policy makers demand online courses for high school graduates.
Mixed learning, including the "flip" classroom, is spread across the country.
In addition, the teacher blog tells anyone who reads their posts how they can incorporate the use of new devices into their daily classes, including ways to adapt to Common Core standards in English and mathematics.
Once teachers have limited access to new technologies, innovative electronic devices are doomed to fail (
Recall the film projector, radio, teaching TV, computer lab in the 20 th century)
In 2013, policy makers won big victories in laptops, tablets and manual computers.
Most teachers and students have equipment in their hands.
With all of the above happening, one would think that by 2024, age-
The grading school and what happened today at K-
The university will come out from the back door.
I don't think so.
For those who believe in better technology to solve teaching problems, getting a strong electronic device for all students and teachers is no doubt a victory.
But access is not guaranteed to use, especially the kind of use that suppliers and avid tech enthusiasts seek.
For nearly 30 years, I have been writing about the use and teaching of computers by teachers and students in school.
In these articles and books, I have been working with suppliers and promo about how these
Changing Electronic devices will change the times
Graded schools and regular teaching.
Even in the face of accumulated evidence, the hardware and software themselves did not improve their academic performance, even in the face of self-
The obvious truth is that it is the teacher, not the silicon chip, and enthusiasts and suppliers continue to click on the sound boards of tablets, laptops, and other classroom equipment as a way to improve the test scores (
Seethe_impact_of_digital_shopies_on_learn _ full_report _(2012)and here).
However, in this suspicion, I have often noticed that many teachers have adopted the latest information and communication equipment and software, using the Internet, not only for the sake of family use, but also for the sake of improving the efficiency of planning courses, grade students with parents and other educators and dozens of other classrooms and non-Classroom tasks.
I also didn't criticize decision makers for buying a lot of hardware (
Advice without a teacher is too frequent)
Stop me from identifying (And celebrate)
Teachers in computer graphics, animation, and computer science, as well as classroom teachers who are imaginative and creative to seamlessly integrate new devices and social media into daily courses to facilitate student learning.
However, I am allergic to Rose
The colorful scene with rich technology in the future still exists.
I can only imagine how painful it must be for those who are tough.
More Core advocatestechnology-the-
Who can better predict the end of the school a few years ago and see if the public school is still there.
What might 2024 look like?
Over the past four years, I have predicted that textbooks will be digitized, online learning will be popularized, and the beginning of computer testing will create more device access in schools and speed up classroom use.
In the next ten years, these will gradually disappear and will be in the K-12 age-graded schools.
Although the textbook market of higher education has changed a lot
Books and cheaper ways to input content into student Equipment
12 mar ket is still the exclusive domain of a few publishers (e. g.
Pearson, Holden Mifflin Harcourt and McGraw-Hill Education)
Partly due to the mechanism of some states (e. g.
Florida, California and Texas)
Which text is the dominant choice.
But change continues. Vail (AZ)
Give up textbooks;
California allows regions to buy digital text with state money;
Florida will do so in 2015. Start-
Up offers digital text for less than $20, not $80-100 prices. Changes in K-
As publishers adapt to the impact of the network, the text will appear in fragmented form. K-
As mixed learning and "flip" classes gain traction, online learning will also spread slowly and very slowly, especially at low levels
Mainly the income of minority areas.
However, both of these innovations in traditional classroom teaching will strengthen the era-
The school is graded, not destroyed.
However, what drives more use of online learning will be the implementation of adaptive testing through Common Core standards, as two national consortia submit their new online testing to the desktop.
None of these incremental changes foreshadowed K-12 age-
Grading of public schools or teacher-led models
Teaching-centered
These gradual changes will translate into a range of teaching and learning options that both teachers and students can choose from.